tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3609683919099708226.post103197253019077609..comments2023-06-16T09:39:07.504-04:00Comments on Harpocrates Speaks: Climbing Numbers in Minnesota Measles OutbreakTodd W.http://www.blogger.com/profile/16192694127268195554noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3609683919099708226.post-53636060703881630082011-03-23T15:15:41.721-04:002011-03-23T15:15:41.721-04:00Nope. He doesn't grasp any of that, and he con...Nope. He doesn't grasp any of that, and he continues to ignore that, up to now, all the cases have been related to each other (epidemiologically linked), another factor in calling it an outbreak.Renhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02165486823815850422noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3609683919099708226.post-69256391665749684972011-03-23T15:04:53.544-04:002011-03-23T15:04:53.544-04:00@Ren
The problem is that he does not seem to unde...@Ren<br /><br />The problem is that he does not seem to understand the difference between <i>total</i> population and <i>susceptible</i> population. He also does not understand the definition of "outbreak" (i.e., 1 more case than expected). With 0-1 cases per year, on average, it does not take many cases to define an outbreak. In the case of MN, 2 cases would be an outbreak. 10 cases (when there should not be any) is extremely worrying!Todd W.https://www.blogger.com/profile/16192694127268195554noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3609683919099708226.post-21367359493218406412011-03-23T13:35:49.114-04:002011-03-23T13:35:49.114-04:00Our friend, Dr. Jay Gordon, recently tweeted that ...Our friend, Dr. Jay Gordon, recently tweeted that it made sense for him if 15% of a cruise ship was sick with Noro, but it didn't make sense that 7 cases in a population of over 5 million would be called an outbreak. I really don't know where the mental block is occurring...Renhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02165486823815850422noreply@blogger.com